ForetellerForeteller
9G
9g4C…wsb2
other
score
67
Follow
+49%
ROI · 7d
$95
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
16
Avg edge / share
+33.0¢
Edge, worst case
-8.1¢
Closing line value
+32.0¢
size-weighted edge +33.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$95
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
Max Holloway beats Conor McGregor
+49% · +$95
Recent activity
redeemedMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@1.00+$287234h
boughtMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@0.67$193271h

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