ForetellerForeteller
9H
9hxZ…ehu9rank #42
sportsother
score
54
Follow
+258%
ROI · 7d
$3.5k
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$2.1k @ 0.34
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-6.4¢
Edge, worst case
-36.3¢
Closing line value
+3.1¢
size-weighted edge -31.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$3.5k
other
+$0.83
Current streak
4 wins
in a row
Best call
NOR wins WC26
+688% · +$3.5k
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$707143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$96147h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.50$538172h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$94172h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$136211h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.18$193211h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$3211h
soldNOR wins WC26@0.50+$4.1k215h
redeemedMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@1.00+$3233h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h

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