ForetellerForeteller
9M
9maT…DUQnrank #19
sports
score
56
Follow
+39%
ROI · 7d
$65
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$124 @ 0.58
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
6
Avg edge / share
+27.3¢
Edge, worst case
-13.8¢
Closing line value
+26.3¢
size-weighted edge +27.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$97
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+239% · +$46
Recent activity
soldARG wins WC26@0.42+$74144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$66144h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$14150h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$22150h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.58$72150h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.62+$43170h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$0.21181h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$2181h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$31181h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$28181h

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