ForetellerForeteller
9O
9oEF…3KAS
sportscrypto
score
48
Follow
-24%
ROI · 7d
-$53
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$128 @ 0.18
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
-4.5¢
Edge, worst case
-18.5¢
Closing line value
-4.2¢
size-weighted edge -6.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$52
crypto
-$105
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG wins WC26
+80% · +$67
Recent activity
redeemedENG wins WC26@1.00+$150145h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired163h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$14163h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$36163h
boughtBTC Up@0.19$36163h
boughtBTC Up@0.33$18163h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired165h
boughtENG wins WC26@0.50$62217h
boughtENG wins WC26@0.81$22217h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$19288h

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