ForetellerForeteller
9T
9tDF…iw9Drank #42
cryptosports
score
54
Follow
+12%
ROI · 7d
$263
Profit · 7d
24
Markets
Performance · 7d24 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time20 scored calls
Forecast score
59
Avg edge / share
+16.2¢
Edge, worst case
+1.9¢
Closing line value
+2.3¢
crypto 60 · 19 callssize-weighted edge -1.9¢sizing discipline -0.43

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$262
sports
+$2
Current streak
6 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+9900% · +$183
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$107193h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$52193h
boughtBTC Up@0.90$49193h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$15193h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$15193h
soldBTC Up@0.95+$23260h
boughtBTC Up@0.82$20260h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$20260h
boughtBTC Up@0.48$9260h
soldBTC Up@0.09+$2260h

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