ForetellerForeteller
9W
9wBq…uh2Vrank #1016
sportscryptoother
score
37
Follow
-63%
ROI · 7d
-$259
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$50 @ 0.18
Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-25.7¢
Edge, worst case
-47.7¢
Closing line value
-19.7¢
sports 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -10.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$9
crypto
-$40
sports
-$210
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+35% · +$27
Recent activity
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired165h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired204h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$32205h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired205h
boughtBTC Up@0.11$8205h
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired234h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$52234h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.39$9242h

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