ForetellerForeteller
9Y
9y9L…dnasrank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+21%
ROI · 7d
$10
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$3 @ 0.70
YESARG wins WC26
$19 @ 0.21
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
17
Avg edge / share
+9.3¢
Edge, worst case
-8.1¢
Closing line value
+8.6¢
sports 17 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +16.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$10
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+102% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$4143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$2145h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired164h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$7218h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.21$4224h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.42$5224h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.85$6224h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$26237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.73$8240h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.71$11240h

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