ForetellerForeteller
AC
AC4H…iKbB
other
score
48
Follow
-32%
ROI · 7d
-$9
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-50.0¢
Edge, worst case
-91.1¢
Closing line value
+0.0¢
size-weighted edge -50.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$9
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+0% · +$0.01
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.50+$5163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5163h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired163h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$0.02163h
soldBTC Up@0.97+$7163h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$1163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4163h
soldBTC Up@0.38+$8163h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$21163h

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