ForetellerForeteller
AC
ACGU…SHMcrank #623
cryptosports
score
46
Follow
-87%
ROI · 7d
-$35
Profit · 7d
8
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$22 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.6¢
Edge, worst case
-44.7¢
Closing line value
-12.2¢
sports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -29.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$14
crypto
-$15
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+114% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$0.94168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.61$4175h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired239h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.34$5243h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$6266h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired289h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1316h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$1316h

Powered by Fortel