ForetellerForeteller
AF
AFxN…3hCUrank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+37%
ROI · 7d
$7
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
97
Avg edge / share
+27.7¢
Edge, worst case
+17.0¢
Closing line value
+10.4¢
sports 97 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +31.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$7
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$8
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$14168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$0.90227h
soldFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.59+$1227h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$3227h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$1227h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.00expired227h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$1229h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.39+$0.63231h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.81$0.68231h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.81$3231h

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