ForetellerForeteller
AG
AGAM…B612rank #77
sportscrypto
score
53
Follow
+45%
ROI · 7d
$315
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
97
Avg edge / share
+38.0¢
Edge, worst case
+18.1¢
Closing line value
+37.0¢
size-weighted edge +44.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$316
crypto
-$2
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+100% · +$199
Recent activity
soldARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.96+$474233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.76$375236h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$398237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$199249h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$73264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$16273h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$4277h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$3278h
boughtBTC Up@0.78$4278h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$34278h

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