ForetellerForeteller
AM
AMZd…8ZXL
sports
score
50
Follow
+27%
ROI · 7d
$3
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
43
Avg edge / share
-1.3¢
Edge, worst case
-1.4¢
Closing line value
-0.3¢
size-weighted edge -1.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$67
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BEL wins WC26
+78% · +$7
Recent activity
redeemedSUI wins WC26@0.00expired211h
redeemedNOR wins WC26@0.00expired216h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.01$0.89239h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.01$2239h
boughtNOR wins WC26@0.01$0.89239h
redeemedBEL wins WC26@0.00expired263h
redeemedMAR wins WC26@0.00expired287h
soldSUI wins WC26@0.01+$64290h
soldBEL wins WC26@0.02+$16344h
boughtBEL wins WC26@0.01$9360h

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