ForetellerForeteller
AR
ARDZ…eHvTrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+35%
ROI · 7d
$42
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$11 @ 0.69
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
4
Avg edge / share
+17.5¢
Edge, worst case
-15.6¢
Closing line value
-7.5¢
size-weighted edge +18.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$42
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$21
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$32144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$16159h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired164h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$37168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$16182h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$56237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$38245h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$38287h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.80$31323h
redeemedUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@1.00+$21355h

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