ForetellerForeteller
AV
AVtg…txNmrank #432
othersports
score
48
Follow
-9%
ROI · 7d
-$31
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
97
Avg edge / share
+59.2¢
Edge, worst case
+18.0¢
Closing line value
-39.8¢
size-weighted edge +59.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$12
sports
-$18
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$34
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired144h
bought@0.50$14144h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired145h
redeemed@1.00+$45147h
bought@0.50$22147h
redeemed@1.00+$44147h
bought@0.72$31148h
sold@1.00+$65148h
bought@0.68$44148h
redeemed@0.00expired148h

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