ForetellerForeteller
AY
AYPc…oGTcrank #12
sports
score
57
Follow
+43%
ROI · 7d
$135
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$32 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
89
Avg edge / share
+16.5¢
Edge, worst case
+10.7¢
Closing line value
-4.1¢
sports 89 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +14.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$135
Current streak
5 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+101% · +$97
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$193143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$96152h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$96168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.96$92168h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$92233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.78$72236h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$39264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$30266h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$25287h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.80$20318h

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