ForetellerForeteller
AB
AbKH…zVjVrank #432
cryptoother
score
48
Follow
-37%
ROI · 7d
-$10
Profit · 7d
21
Markets
Performance · 7d21 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time31 scored calls
Forecast score
13
Avg edge / share
+2.3¢
Edge, worst case
-9.5¢
Closing line value
+6.8¢
crypto 13 · 31 callssize-weighted edge -12.6¢sizing discipline -0.3550% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$1
crypto
-$9
Current streak
12 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+616% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired152h
bought@0.21$1152h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired216h
boughtBTC Up@0.28$1217h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired217h
boughtBTC Up@0.19$1217h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired217h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$1217h
boughtBTC Up@0.40$1217h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired218h

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