ForetellerForeteller
AE
Aeo1…wQ14rank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+35%
ROI · 7d
$65
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$103 @ 0.96
YESESP wins WC26
$91 @ 0.20
YESARG wins WC26
$115 @ 0.19
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+3.3¢
Edge, worst case
-29.4¢
Closing line value
-16.2¢
sports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -1.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$65
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+128% · +$12
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$60143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$9150h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$9150h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$9158h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$21168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$9170h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.18$9210h
soldARG wins WC26@0.18+$5210h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.20$18230h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$18230h

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