ForetellerForeteller
AM
AmAJ…mWMprank #134
cryptosports
score
52
Follow
-5%
ROI · 7d
-$0.83
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d13 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time15 scored calls
Forecast score
14
Avg edge / share
+7.6¢
Edge, worst case
-8.9¢
Closing line value
-1.6¢
crypto 11 · 12 callssize-weighted edge +9.1¢sizing discipline +0.07

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$0.16
sports
-$0.66
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+101% · +$0.93
Recent activity
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.40$3247h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$5264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$4286h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$3287h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired298h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$0.70298h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired299h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2301h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.93301h

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