ForetellerForeteller
B5
B5gi…hhxErank #261
sports
score
50
Follow
+64%
ROI · 7d
$248
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$76 @ 0.13
Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-2.1¢
Edge, worst case
-25.9¢
Closing line value
-9.0¢
sports 1 · 7 callssize-weighted edge +6.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$248
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+165% · +$248
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$398144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.26$50145h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$105169h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$100171h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.48$50171h
redeemedNOR wins WC26@0.00expired216h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$131264h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.39$50278h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$100279h

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