ForetellerForeteller
B7
B768…wshArank #623
cryptoother
score
46
Follow
-14%
ROI · 7d
-$32
Profit · 7d
20
Markets
Performance · 7d20 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time12 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-1.4¢
Edge, worst case
-26.8¢
Closing line value
+7.1¢
crypto 0 · 11 callssize-weighted edge -4.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$15
crypto
-$17
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+108% · +$9
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired152h
redeemed@0.00expired152h
bought@0.50$8153h
bought@0.50$8153h
redeemed@1.00+$7153h
bought@0.88$6153h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$9166h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4166h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$14190h
boughtBTC Up@0.69$10190h

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