ForetellerForeteller
BE
BEX1…ABB2
sports
score
52
Follow
+4%
ROI · 7d
$7
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$109 @ 0.69
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+21.9¢
Edge, worst case
-19.3¢
Closing line value
+20.9¢
size-weighted edge +21.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$7
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)
+28% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$26288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$20291h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.33+$140338h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.33$139340h
boughtPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.69$75364h
redeemedCOL vs GHA: COL wins (YES)@1.00+$464426h
boughtCOL vs GHA: COL wins (YES)@0.83$175430h

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