ForetellerForeteller
BM
BMUG…Tr1prank #25
sports
score
55
Follow
+75%
ROI · 7d
$1.4k
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$90 @ 0.62
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
6
Avg edge / share
+21.3¢
Edge, worst case
-14.1¢
Closing line value
+10.9¢
sports 6 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +27.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$1.4k
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+187% · +$806
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1.2k143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.23$138145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$292147h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$532168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.43$228172h
soldARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.67+$126234h
soldARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.67+$126234h
soldARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.70+$262234h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.78$262236h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$528237h

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