ForetellerForeteller
BX
BXeM…P4GCrank #12
cryptosports
score
57
Follow
+7%
ROI · 7d
$36
Profit · 7d
45
Markets
Performance · 7d45 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time37 scored calls
Forecast score
65
Avg edge / share
+14.8¢
Edge, worst case
+3.0¢
Closing line value
+5.2¢
crypto 65 · 37 callssize-weighted edge +2.0¢sizing discipline -0.35100% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$26
sports
+$10
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+105% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$19191h
soldBTC Up@0.42+$6191h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$10191h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$30192h
boughtBTC Up@0.94$28193h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$17193h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$9193h

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