ForetellerForeteller
BY
BYWD…Fdeyrank #623
othercrypto
score
46
Follow
-39%
ROI · 7d
-$61
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-64.1¢
Edge, worst case
-80.6¢
Closing line value
-25.9¢
size-weighted edge -68.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$61
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+108% · +$8
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired172h
boughtBTC Up@0.20$0.36172h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.47172h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$0.46172h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired173h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$0.31173h
soldBTC Up@0.03+$0.39173h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$3173h
boughtBTC Up@0.58$5173h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired173h

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