ForetellerForeteller
BZ
BZak…PJVjrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+75%
ROI · 7d
$20
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$3 @ 0.70
YES
$5 @ 0.65
YES
$9 @ 0.46
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
9
Avg edge / share
+14.4¢
Edge, worst case
-11.4¢
Closing line value
-2.4¢
sports 9 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +24.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$20
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+157% · +$11
Recent activity
bought@0.46$4142h
bought@0.65$3142h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$17143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$1145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$1148h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$6168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$3190h
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired218h
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired221h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.25$0.92221h

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