ForetellerForeteller
BG
BgBz…ohAUrank #342
crypto
score
49
Follow
-47%
ROI · 7d
-$110
Profit · 7d
8
Markets
Performance · 7d8 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+1.1¢
Edge, worst case
-23.8¢
Closing line value
+11.9¢
crypto 1 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -10.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$110
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+375% · +$30
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired295h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$66295h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired295h
boughtBTC Up@0.15$72296h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired296h
boughtBTC Up@0.12$5296h
boughtBTC Up@0.31$7296h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$38308h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$4309h
boughtBTC Up@0.27$4309h

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