ForetellerForeteller
BM
Bm2n…DBA1
sports
score
66
Follow
+47%
ROI · 7d
$325
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
14
Avg edge / share
+31.9¢
Edge, worst case
-9.2¢
Closing line value
+30.9¢
size-weighted edge +31.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$325
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+47% · +$325
Recent activity
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$1.0k238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$694241h
soldSUI vs COL: SUI wins (YES)@0.99+$88335h
boughtSUI vs COL: SUI wins (YES)@0.40$35338h
soldUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.99+$1.0k356h
soldUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.76+$149357h
boughtUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.47$159361h
boughtUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.47$429361h
soldPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.99+$915361h
soldPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.99+$915361h

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