ForetellerForeteller
BN
BnL8…1idArank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
-9%
ROI · 7d
-$0.92
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$2 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
8
Avg edge / share
+12.6¢
Edge, worst case
-12.5¢
Closing line value
+11.9¢
sports 8 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -0.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$0.92
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+95% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$0.21218h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.81$0.05232h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$4232h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.81$0.12232h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$2237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.69$0.01241h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.69$0.10241h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$0.07248h

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