ForetellerForeteller
BS
BsKS…SpAzrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+98%
ROI · 7d
$60
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-14.5¢
Edge, worst case
-23.6¢
Closing line value
-13.7¢
size-weighted edge -17.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$69
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)
+1884% · +$84
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50+$88143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.03$4144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.95+$10144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.92$10144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.62+$21144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.23$8145h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired167h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.13$6169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.38$7170h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h

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