ForetellerForeteller
BU
Bua2…sa1Brank #623
sports
score
46
Follow
-14%
ROI · 7d
-$422
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-19.0¢
Edge, worst case
-29.5¢
Closing line value
-18.1¢
sports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -24.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$422
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+149% · +$963
Recent activity
soldARG wins WC26@0.43+$990144h
soldENG wins WC26@0.01+$33145h
boughtENG wins WC26@0.03$89145h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.96+$1.6k145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$91145h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.11$90145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.28$46146h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.12$45146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.29$9146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$27146h

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