ForetellerForeteller
BW
Bw2D…iJDfrank #707
crypto
score
45
Follow
-27%
ROI · 7d
-$76
Profit · 7d
8
Markets
Performance · 7d8 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.8¢
Edge, worst case
-46.3¢
Closing line value
-2.3¢
crypto 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -32.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$76
Current streak
7 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+27% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$28199h
soldBTC Up@0.90+$25200h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$28200h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired200h
soldBTC Up@0.92+$5200h
soldBTC Up@0.81+$23200h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$34200h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$11200h

Powered by Fortel