ForetellerForeteller
CE
CEo7…ZCtjrank #874
crypto
score
42
Follow
-74%
ROI · 7d
-$64
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d17 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-10.0¢
Edge, worst case
-39.8¢
Closing line value
-2.8¢
crypto 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -14.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$16
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+29% · +$0.82
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$46175h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$2175h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$3175h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
soldBTC Up@0.52+$4175h
boughtBTC Up@0.40$3175h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired324h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$19324h

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