ForetellerForeteller
CG
CGPU…MWLTrank #707
cryptosports
score
45
Follow
-13%
ROI · 7d
-$102
Profit · 7d
16
Markets
Performance · 7d16 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.9¢
Edge, worst case
-62.5¢
Closing line value
-2.7¢
crypto 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -54.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$0.01
crypto
-$102
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+84% · +$24
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.97+$331191h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired191h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$204191h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired191h
boughtBTC Up@0.86$154191h
boughtBTC Up@0.43$28191h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$37192h
boughtBTC Up@0.95$71192h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$20194h
boughtBTC Up@0.72$29194h

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