ForetellerForeteller
CM
CMiL…XGsS
sports
score
49
Follow
-50%
ROI · 7d
-$911
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-1.8¢
Edge, worst case
-40.4¢
Closing line value
-1.8¢
size-weighted edge -6.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$911
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)
+28% · +$200
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.10$180170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.37$929171h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.36$2171h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$923288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$723290h
soldARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$7.8k340h
boughtARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@0.17$772341h
boughtARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@0.48$941341h
boughtARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@0.72$969342h

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