ForetellerForeteller
CQ
CQsv…9DPorank #432
sportsother
score
48
Follow
-13%
ROI · 7d
-$553
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+3.0¢
Edge, worst case
-25.2¢
Closing line value
-16.5¢
size-weighted edge +5.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$784
sports
-$1.3k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+127% · +$597
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1.1k168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.10$90169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$468172h
redeemedMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@1.00+$2.7k234h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@0.71$966245h
boughtMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@0.71$966245h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$928245h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h

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