ForetellerForeteller
CS
CSNU…sLNZrank #951
crypto
score
40
Follow
-41%
ROI · 7d
-$764
Profit · 7d
27
Markets
Performance · 7d28 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-37.2¢
Edge, worst case
-52.9¢
Closing line value
-32.1¢
crypto 0 · 13 callssize-weighted edge -46.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$729
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+104% · +$92
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.50+$33320h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$33320h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired320h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$25320h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$26320h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$51320h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$39320h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired321h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$47321h
boughtBTC Up@0.53$19321h

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