ForetellerForeteller
CU
CUya…i57n
crypto
score
53
Follow
+116%
ROI · 7d
$79
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
99
Avg edge / share
+47.6¢
Edge, worst case
+25.2¢
Closing line value
+30.2¢
size-weighted edge +49.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$79
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+233% · +$81
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$115184h
boughtBTC Up@0.25$16185h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$19185h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.03185h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$17185h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8185h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$18185h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$16185h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8185h

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