ForetellerForeteller
CE
CeEz…f1DZrank #261
sportscrypto
score
50
Follow
+7%
ROI · 7d
$29
Profit · 7d
15
Markets
Performance · 7d16 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-17.5¢
Edge, worst case
-43.8¢
Closing line value
-11.2¢
size-weighted edge -38.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$39
crypto
-$5
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+165% · +$27
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.05$3145h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.52+$42145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.23$18146h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$15157h
boughtBTC Up@0.70$21157h
soldBTC Up@0.90+$88163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$49163h
soldFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.01+$2169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.09$9169h

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