ForetellerForeteller
CK
Ckaf…6c22rank #432
sportsothercrypto
score
48
Follow
-10%
ROI · 7d
-$52
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$83 @ 0.50
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-0.1¢
Edge, worst case
-34.9¢
Closing line value
-0.9¢
size-weighted edge +3.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$10
sports
-$7
other
-$54
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$10
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$101144h
redeemed@0.00expired145h
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.94$50145h
bought@0.08$5145h
redeemed@1.00+$5145h
bought@0.99$5145h
redeemed@1.00+$53145h
bought@0.99$52145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99$100145h

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