ForetellerForeteller
CN
Cn7N…G8bvrank #3
sports
score
61
Follow
+61%
ROI · 7d
$15
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$6 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
98
Avg edge / share
+28.5¢
Edge, worst case
+18.6¢
Closing line value
+11.2¢
sports 98 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +28.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$15
Current streak
6 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$7144h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$11168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$3192h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$5192h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$10233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$2237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.69$2241h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.77$8241h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$4264h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$5287h

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