ForetellerForeteller
CT
Ct4E…2Mem
sports
score
46
Follow
-3%
ROI · 7d
-$74
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-13.8¢
Edge, worst case
-68.8¢
Closing line value
+19.2¢
size-weighted edge +6.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$74
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)
+20% · +$476
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$300170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.49$200171h
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired219h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.51$50221h
redeemedARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$513339h
boughtARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@0.18$91340h
soldFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.73+$2.9k398h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.56$452406h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.62$950406h

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