ForetellerForeteller
DB
DBkv…XaM2rank #261
cryptoothersports
score
50
Follow
-9%
ROI · 7d
-$2.7k
Profit · 7d
241
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$711 @ 0.68
NO
$192 @ 0.52
Forecasting skill · all-time137 scored calls
Forecast score
9
Avg edge / share
-5.1¢
Edge, worst case
-11.4¢
Closing line value
-0.9¢
crypto 9 · 115 callsother 1 · 17 callssports 1 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -5.2¢sizing discipline -0.0017% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$8.1k
other
+$2.9k
sports
+$599
Current streak
60 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+664% · +$299
Recent activity
bought@0.52$100142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
redeemed@1.00+$497142h
bought@0.44$100142h
bought@0.30$150142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.35$50142h
bought@0.52$100142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.34$100142h

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