ForetellerForeteller
DJ
DJpd…k3bc
sports
score
50
Follow
+67%
ROI · 7d
$466
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+13.5¢
Edge, worst case
-58.3¢
Closing line value
+13.5¢
size-weighted edge +32.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$466
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+133% · +$666
Recent activity
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$1.2k238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.43$500240h
redeemedESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.00expired265h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.30$200267h
redeemedUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@1.00+$1.3k356h
boughtUSA vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.50$633361h
redeemedPAR vs FRA: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$934407h
boughtPAR vs FRA: FRA wins (YES)@0.91$845408h

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