ForetellerForeteller
DJ
DJq9…ZqZBrank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-7%
ROI · 7d
-$33
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d12 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time10 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-8.2¢
Edge, worst case
-33.7¢
Closing line value
-32.7¢
crypto 0 · 10 callssize-weighted edge -3.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$33
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+85% · +$20
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired182h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired182h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$90182h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired182h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$10182h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$50183h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired183h
boughtBTC Up@0.44$20183h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$1183h
boughtBTC Up@0.64$10183h

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