ForetellerForeteller
DN
DNGA…Sirsrank #342
crypto
score
49
Follow
-52%
ROI · 7d
-$23
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time12 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-28.3¢
Edge, worst case
-56.6¢
Closing line value
-4.1¢
crypto 0 · 11 callssize-weighted edge -47.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$23
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+305% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired289h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$3289h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired291h
boughtBTC Up@0.39$0.19291h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1292h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.62292h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired324h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$2324h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired324h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired326h

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