ForetellerForeteller
DN
DNx6…ntVarank #778
crypto
score
44
Follow
-32%
ROI · 7d
-$25
Profit · 7d
8
Markets
Performance · 7d8 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$32 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-12.8¢
Edge, worst case
-36.2¢
Closing line value
-29.2¢
crypto 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -24.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$25
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+35% · +$3
Recent activity
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$6161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired182h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$14183h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$8183h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$10183h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$9183h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$11183h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$10183h
boughtBTC Up@0.74$7183h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$10183h

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