ForetellerForeteller
DS
DSxk…xJ7jrank #8
cryptosports
score
59
Follow
+38%
ROI · 7d
$50
Profit · 7d
25
Markets
Performance · 7d25 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
88
Avg edge / share
+24.1¢
Edge, worst case
+9.9¢
Closing line value
-3.4¢
crypto 83 · 12 callssize-weighted edge +27.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$47
sports
+$3
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+123% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$22143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99$15144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.94$5144h
soldENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.05+$0.07144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.45$0.94144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.19+$1144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.74$0.97144h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.30157h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.30157h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2158h

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