ForetellerForeteller
DB
DbFb…XoH8rank #261
cryptosportsother
score
50
Follow
+11%
ROI · 7d
$50
Profit · 7d
27
Markets
Performance · 7d33 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time42 scored calls
Forecast score
4
Avg edge / share
-4.4¢
Edge, worst case
-16.0¢
Closing line value
-4.8¢
crypto 6 · 38 callssize-weighted edge -7.9¢sizing discipline -0.0840% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$84
sports
+$40
other
-$1
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+274% · +$13
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50+$38145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$19146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$8146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$9146h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired189h
boughtBTC Up@0.28$5190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired210h
boughtBTC Up@0.58$13210h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired211h
boughtBTC Up@0.40$10211h

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