ForetellerForeteller
DB
DbaM…bpeF
sports
score
39
Follow
-94%
ROI · 7d
-$115
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$89 @ 0.19
Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
40
Avg edge / share
-1.5¢
Edge, worst case
-2.1¢
Closing line value
-0.5¢
size-weighted edge -1.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$115
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
soldESP wins WC26@0.58+$73167h
soldESP wins WC26@0.23+$25171h
redeemedSUI wins WC26@0.00expired211h
redeemedBEL wins WC26@0.00expired263h
boughtSUI wins WC26@0.02$12263h
soldARG wins WC26@0.18+$15263h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.18$32263h
soldESP wins WC26@0.21+$38263h
boughtSUI wins WC26@0.02$6264h
soldSUI wins WC26@0.02+$7264h

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