ForetellerForeteller
DM
DmHf…UpKirank #432
cryptoothersports
score
48
Follow
-40%
ROI · 7d
-$657
Profit · 7d
125
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time139 scored calls
Forecast score
10
Avg edge / share
-4.9¢
Edge, worst case
-10.8¢
Closing line value
+4.0¢
crypto 10 · 136 callssize-weighted edge -21.9¢sizing discipline -0.1829% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$564
other
-$5
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+945% · +$57
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired142h
sold@0.50+$4142h
bought@0.36$3142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
sold@0.50+$3142h
bought@0.52$3142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.99$18142h
bought@0.99$6142h
sold@0.50+$3143h

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